Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 2.399041 2.621040 2.858967 3.133691 3.443099 3.781872 4.182323
2025-11-09 2.020911 2.312072 2.643258 3.050564 3.541699 4.119533 4.857831
2025-11-16 1.795490 2.122454 2.510596 3.010601 3.645341 4.434861 5.508217
2025-11-23 1.642175 1.992154 2.422045 2.997131 3.759019 4.752458 6.177881
2025-11-30 1.560303 1.937115 2.414402 3.075291 3.986283 5.228398 7.106211
2025-12-07 1.455956 1.841571 2.342332 3.055670 4.072054 5.511418 7.788190
2025-12-14 1.361918 1.750670 2.266585 3.020109 4.125951 5.746718 8.419766
2025-12-21 1.254910 1.634028 2.145989 2.909013 4.056191 5.786068 8.741162
2025-12-28 1.199708 1.584135 2.113204 2.919461 4.164639 6.103361 9.551001
2026-01-04 1.157716 1.549377 2.098373 2.953345 4.309191 6.488794 10.526253
2026-01-11 1.121261 1.519752 2.088115 2.991809 4.462085 6.900784 11.605564
2026-01-18 1.086883 1.490720 2.076172 3.025494 4.608251 7.314219 12.747532
2026-01-25 1.048772 1.454930 2.053085 3.041713 4.730101 7.704905 13.924416
2026-02-01 0.990568 1.386096 1.975604 2.964296 4.684420 7.787206 14.485380
2026-02-08 0.946497 1.336289 1.924491 2.926154 4.703159 7.989471 15.332415
2026-02-15 0.911609 1.298682 1.890167 2.913222 4.764946 8.279312 16.422165
2026-02-22 0.898410 1.293820 1.907276 2.988594 4.994504 8.925824 18.461663
2026-03-01 0.866448 1.257823 1.871888 2.969678 5.044227 9.210838 19.682391
2026-03-08 0.833592 1.218880 1.829560 2.935390 5.060819 9.427137 20.770947
2026-03-15 0.788721 1.158835 1.749463 2.828243 4.925560 9.300941 20.931314
2026-03-22 0.768746 1.138230 1.734319 2.838322 5.024930 9.702872 22.617597
2026-03-29 0.754022 1.125483 1.731672 2.871004 5.172684 10.232016 24.790473
2026-04-05 0.740817 1.114603 1.731528 2.908100 5.332586 10.810014 27.258495